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Understanding Fold Equity in Middle Poker Tournament Rounds

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Well-timed aggression, backed by the likelihood of a fold, lets you accumulate chips even when you don’t have the best hand

In the middle stages of a poker tournament, understanding fold equity becomes a crucial part of maintaining or growing your chip stack. Fold equity is the idea that, by betting or raising, you create a chance your opponent will fold, allowing you to win the pot without seeing a showdown. It’s especially powerful during this phase of a tournament, where stacks are typically deeper than in the early rounds, but the pressure of upcoming blinds and antes is starting to mount.

In middle rounds, many players start to shift their strategy. They’re not just playing premium hands—they’re also looking for ways to build a stack for a deep run. This is where fold equity comes into play. Players begin opening up their range, and smart opponents will take advantage of this by using aggression to apply pressure. If you’re holding a hand that may not be strong enough to call with but could work well as a bluff or semi-bluff, raising or shoving could force a fold and secure the pot right then and there.

Your fold equity increases when you have a tight image or are facing opponents who are aware of the tournament’s rising stakes. Conversely, it drops when you’re seen as reckless or up against players who don’t like folding. Stack sizes also play a role. If your opponent has a medium stack and can’t afford to lose chips without serious consequence, they may be more likely to fold to aggression.

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